“…it makes it almost seem more like a business deal than an act that happens.”
www.denverpost.com By Carolyn Thompson
Extremists and Statistics
There’s ‘classical’ feminism, and then there’s extreme feminism
“I am a feminist, for whatever that’s worth. I am a person who is outraged by any act of violence. But I also support the American presumption that a person is innocent until proven guilty.”
m.utsandiego.com By Peg Rosen
Occidental College has almost FIVE times the forcible sex offense rate of any other school in California
The 2014-15 Cleary Act numbers for Occidental: Rape: 8, Fondling: 6, for a total of 14. Still a huge number, but in some ways showing how extreme the 2013-2014 school year was at Occidental.
Here are the Cleary Act numbers for Occidental: (from http://ope.ed.gov/security/):
|Criminal Offenses – On campus|
|Total occurrences On campus|
|a. Murder/Non-negligent manslaughter||0||0||0|
|b. Negligent manslaughter||0||0||0|
|c. Sex offenses – Forcible||11||10||60|
For all of California 4-year institutions, here are the numbers:
|Criminal Offenses – On campus (Reporting Year: 2013)|
|Total occurrences On campus|
|a. Murder/Non-negligent manslaughter||2||0||1|
|b. Negligent manslaughter||0||0||0|
|c. Sex offenses – Forcible||229||271||397|
Search Criteria: Undergraduate Enrollment: ‘Between 500 and 999’, ‘Between 1,000 and 1,499’, ‘Between 1,500 and 1,999’, ‘Between 2,000 and 2,999’, ‘Between 3,000 and 4,999’, ‘Between 5,000 and 9,999’, ‘Between 10,000 and 14,999’, ‘Between 15,000 and 19,999’, ‘Between 20,000 and 29,999’, ‘30,000 and greater’ Institution State: ‘CA’; Type of institution: ‘Public, 4-year or above’, ‘Private nonprofit, 4-year or above’, ‘Private for-profit, 4-year or above’
Here is a spreadsheet from the Cleary site showing the top 18 schools, by rate, showing that Occidental is almost FIVE times the rate of any other school in California (excluding schools with under 500 students):
|Year||Institution||Campus||Institution Size||Sex offenses – Forcible||Rate|
|2013||Occidental College||Occidental College||2128||60||2.82%|
|2013||Claremont McKenna College||Main Campus||1328||8||0.60%|
|2013||Pomona College||Main Campus||1610||8||0.50%|
|2013||Harvey Mudd College||Main Campus||807||4||0.50%|
|2013||Whittier College||Main Campus||2339||5||0.21%|
|2013||Scripps College||Main Campus||1009||2||0.20%|
|2013||California Institute of Technology||Main Campus||2181||4||0.18%|
|2013||Stanford University||Main Campus||18346||25||0.14%|
|2013||Mills College||Main Campus||1595||2||0.13%|
|2013||University of the Pacific||Main Campus||6421||7||0.11%|
|2013||University of California-Santa Barbara||Main Campus||22225||23||0.10%|
|2013||Southern California University of Health Sciences||Southern California University of Health Sciences Campus||968||1||0.10%|
|2013||Notre Dame de Namur University||Main Campus||2030||2||0.10%|
|2013||Azusa Pacific University||Azusa (main campus)||10755||10||0.09%|
|2013||Pitzer College||Pitzer College||1081||1||0.09%|
|2013||University of California-Hastings College of Law||Main Campus||1088||1||0.09%|
|2013||University of California-Los Angeles||UCLA||40795||33||0.08%|
Search criteria: Undergraduate Enrollment: ‘Between 500 and 999’, ‘Between 1,000 and 1,499’, ‘Between 1,500 and 1,999’, ‘Between 2,000 and 2,999’, ‘Between 3,000 and 4,999’, ‘Between 5,000 and 9,999’, ‘Between 10,000 and 14,999’, ‘Between 15,000 and 19,999’, ‘Between 20,000 and 29,999’, ‘30,000 and greater’, Institution State: ‘CA’, Type of institution: ‘Public, 4-year or above’, ‘Private nonprofit, 4-year or above’, ‘Private for-profit, 4-year or above’
I’ve been putting the Occidental rape rate of 2.82% into context for a bit more understanding of these statistics.
For example, what if you applied the 2.82% rape rate to a large school, say UCLA? With an enrollment of 40795, a 2.82% rape rate would be 1150 students. Can you imagine the outcry if UCLA expelled over 1100 male students in a single year?
But let’s focus on Occidental:
First, a few assumptions, which we have no way of verifying at this point, short of asking Occidental:
– Of the 60 sex offenses, how many were repeat offenders? (was it 60 students found ‘responsible’ for 60 offenses, or were some of the students responsible for multiple infractions?) A reasonable assumption would be that the number of offenders is very close to, if not the same as, the number of offenders.
– Of the 60 sex offenses, how many students were expelled? Given the current climate it would be hard to imagine that any of these offenders were not expelled, but it would be good to know for sure.
– Of the 60 sex offenses, how many ‘responsible’ students were male? It is safe to assume at this point that they were all male, but Occidental could provide confirmation.
So, say you are a male at Occidental, what is the likelihood that you will be expelled this year? If my assumptions are correct, a shocking 6.4% of male students will be expelled. Here’s the math, if I’ve figured it correctly:
– 44% of Occidental students are male, which out of a total enrollment of 2128, means that there are 936 males enrolled.
– if 60 male students were expelled, that would mean that 60 expellees out of 936 males gives a likelihood of expulsion of 6.41%
Can you imagine if Occidental was upfront with their male applicants? What if they advertised that over 6% of their male students were expelled last year, and they can expect the numbers to be the same this year, or worse?
Here’s another way to look at the numbers: what will this do to the male/female ratio at the school? The current ratio is 44% male to 56% female. Take away 60 males from the 936, you get 876. Assuming that you keep the same female enrollment, by the end of the year you have a campus ratio of 41.2% males to 58.8% females. Schools try very hard to keep their numbers away from 40/60, likely because they figure it would discourage both males and females from attending an institution that was so skewed towards one gender. Would Occidental like to advertise that their ratio changes that much during the year, and why?
And what if these numbers were applied to all higher education institutions in America? Total enrollment for 2013 according to http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2013/12/12/college-enrollment-falls-for-second-year-in-a-row is 19.9 million.
19.9 million * 2.82% is 535,714 students. That is over half a million college students whose dreams are ruined.
The extreme feminists are right about one thing: the culture on America’s colleges would indeed change. Men would all be painfully aware that you can never trust a woman. Feminism just might succeed in bringing all men into their fearful world: all college men should fear that their career opportunities can be stolen from them in a moment’s notice by a false accusation or a ‘retracted consent’, and they have no constitutional rights to defend themselves. If Occidental is a bellwether, their odds of being ruined are 1 in 16.
…new federal numbers show the risk on campuses is still lower than it is for non-students. And the report casts some doubt on a statistic we’ve heard a lot – that 1 in 5 college students are raped or sexually assaulted.
A new report on sexual assault released today by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) officially puts to bed the bogus statistic that one in five women on college campuses are victims of sexual assault. In fact, non-students are 25 percent more likely to be victims of sexual assault than students, according to the data. And the real number of assault victims is several orders of magnitude lower than one-in-five.
thefederalist.com By the Federalist staff
On this issue, I have to side with the amoral hedonists of Reason. We could also reduce premarital sex by banning women from appearing in public without a male chaperone, and stoning them to death if they engage in sex outside of marriage. Most people would correctly describe such rules as misogynistic. Why on earth would we support a system which makes men solely responsible for maintaining “sexual decorum?
www.americanthinker.com By Ben Cohen
SCHLAFLY:It’s really dangerous for a guy to go to college these days. He’s better off if he doesn’t talk to any women when he gets there
“They really are a vicious group,” … “They don’t like men, and they want anything to discredit and destroy men. I think it’s very helpful that the [UVA rape] story has been exposed as a fraud, and anybody who heard it in the first place should have suspected it was a fraud.”mobile.wnd.com By Paul Bremmer
There are approximately 12 million female college students in the U.S. (There are about 9 million males.) I asked the lead author of the study, Christopher Krebs, whether the [College Sexual Assault Study] represents the experience of those millions of female students. His answer was unequivocal: “We don’t think one in five is a nationally representative statistic.” It couldn’t be, he said, because his team sampled only two schools.
http://www.thecollegefix.com By Greg Piper
Activists fighting rape are fighting for two things that actually work against each other. On the one hand, they want the harshest possible moral, social, legal, and administrative sanctions for sexual assault — as they should, because this is a crime second only to murder in its brutality. On the other hand, they want the broadest possible standards for deciding that a rape has occurred, weighted very, very heavily toward including true assaults, rather than excluding false, ambiguous, or hard-to-prove accusations.
www.bloombergview.com By Megan McArdle
Beaulieu had a responsibility to correct the graphic when her errors were first highlighted two years ago….for a graphic titled “the truth about false accusation,” it is quite misleading, and incorrect in many aspects.
www.washingtonpost.com By Michelle Ye Hee Lee